Effect of liraglutide on thigh muscle fat and muscle composition in adults with overweight or obesity: Results from a randomized clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Excess muscle fat is observed in obesity and associated with greater burden of cardiovascular risk factors and higher risk of mortality. Liraglutide reduces total body weight and visceral fat but its effect on muscle fat and adverse muscle composition is unknown. METHODS: This is a pre-specified secondary analysis of a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial that examined the effects of liraglutide plus a lifestyle intervention on visceral adipose tissue and ectopic fat among adults without diabetes with body mass index ≥30 kg/m2 or ≥27 kg/m2 and metabolic syndrome. Participants were randomly assigned to a once-daily subcutaneous injection of liraglutide (target dose 3.0 mg) or matching placebo for 40 weeks. Body fat distribution and muscle composition was assessed by magnetic resonance imaging at baseline and 40-week follow-up. Muscle composition was described by the combination of thigh muscle fat and muscle volume. Treatment difference (95% confidence intervals [CI]) was calculated by least-square means adjusted for baseline thigh muscle fat. The association between changes in thigh muscle fat and changes in body weight were assessed using Spearman correlation coefficients. The effect of liraglutide versus placebo on adverse muscle composition, denoted by high thigh muscle fat and low thigh muscle volume, was explored. RESULTS: Among the 128 participants with follow-up imaging (92.2% women, 36.7% Black), median muscle fat at baseline was 7.8%. The mean percent change in thigh muscle fat over median follow-up of 36 weeks was -2.87% among participants randomized to liraglutide (n = 73) and 0.05% in the placebo group (absolute change: -0.23% vs. 0.01%). The estimated treatment difference adjusted for baseline thigh muscle fat was -0.24% (95% CI, -0.41 to -0.06, P-value 0.009). Longitudinal change in thigh muscle fat was significantly associated with change in body weight in the placebo group but not the liraglutide group. The proportion of participants with adverse muscle composition decreased from 11.0% to 8.2% over follow-up with liraglutide, but there was no change with placebo. CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of predominantly women with overweight or obesity in the absence of diabetes, once-daily subcutaneous liraglutide was associated with a reduction in thigh muscle fat and adverse muscle composition compared with placebo. The contribution of muscle fat improvement to the cardiometabolic benefits of liraglutide requires further study.

"Working me to life" - Longitudinal Perceptions from Adults with Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction Enrolled in an Exercise Training Clinical Trial.

AIMS: Adults with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) responded more favorably to an exercise intervention compared to those with reduced ejection fraction. This study explores factors that contributed to this response focusing on the qualitative perceptions of adults with HFpEF enrolled in an exercise intervention. METHODS AND RESULTS: This qualitative descriptive study is a secondary analysis of longitudinal interviews collected at 3, 6, 12, and 18-months from participants with HFpEF enrolled in a randomized controlled trial testing an intervention to promote adherence to exercise. We included participants with at least 2 interviews. Interviews were examined across and within participants and time points using thematic analysis. Analyses included 67 interviews from 21 adults with HFpEF enrolled in the intervention arm. The sample was 52% (11/21) male and over 47% (10/21) non-White. Mean age at enrollment was 63.7 ± 9.9 years. We identified 4 major themes: 1. Overcoming negative attitudes, barriers, and injury, 2. Motivations to exercise, 3. Exercise - the panacea for HFpEF symptoms and quality of life, and 4. Advice for others with HFpEF. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that for many adults with HFpEF, initial hesitancy, fear, and negative attitudes about exercise can be overcome. Exercise coaching using social cognitive constructs, medical fitness center memberships, and heart rate self-monitoring are successful strategies of engaging adults with HFpEF in long-term unsupervised exercise training. REGISTRATION: This study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01658670.

Characteristics of High-Performing Hospitals in Cardiogenic Shock Following Acute Myocardial Infarction.

Cardiogenic shock after acute myocardial infarction (AMI-CS) carries significant mortality despite advances in revascularization and mechanical circulatory support. We sought to identify the process-based and structural characteristics of centers with lower mortality in AMI-CS. We analyzed 16,337 AMI-CS cases across 440 centers enrolled in the Chest Pain-MI Registry, a retrospective cohort database between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2018. Centers were stratified across tertiles of risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality rate (RAMR) for comparison. Risk-adjusted multivariable logistic regression was also performed to identify hospital-level characteristics associated with decreased mortality. The median participant age was 66.0 (interquartile range 57.0 to 75.0) years, and 33.0% (n = 5,390) were women. The median RAMR was 33.4% (interquartile range 26.0% to 40.0%) and ranged from 26.9% to 50.2% across tertiles. Even after risk adjustment, lower-RAMR centers saw patients with fewer co-morbidities. Lower-RAMR centers performed more revascularization (92.8% vs 90.6% vs 85.9%, p <0.001) and demonstrated better adherence to associated process measures. Left ventricular assist device capability (odds ratio [OR] 0.78 [0.67 to 0.92], p = 0.002), more frequent revascularization (OR 0.93 [0.88 to 0.98], p = 0.006), and higher AMI-CS volume (OR 0.95 [0.91 to 0.99], p = 0.009) were associated with lower in-hospital mortality. However, several such characteristics were not more frequently observed at low-RAMR centers, despite potentially reflecting greater institutional experience or resources. This may reflect the heterogeneity of AMI-CS even after risk adjustment. In conclusion, low-RAMR centers do not necessarily exhibit factors associated with decreased mortality in AMI-CS, which may reflect the challenges in performing outcomes research in this complex population.

Putting More Weight on Obesity Trials in Heart Failure.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To review ongoing and planned clinical trials of weight loss among individuals with or at high risk of heart failure. RECENT FINDINGS: Intentional weight loss via semaglutide among persons with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction and obesity significantly improves weight loss and health status as assessed by the KCCQ-CSS score and is associated with improvements in 6-min walk test. Ongoing and planned trials will explore the role of intentional weight loss with treatments such as semaglutide or tirzepatide for individuals with heart failure across the entire ejection fraction spectrum.

Role of telemedicine in the management of obesity: State-of-the-art review.

Obesity is a worsening public health epidemic that remains challenging to manage. Obesity substantially increases the risk of cardiovascular diseases and presents a significant financial burden on the healthcare system. Digital health interventions, specifically telemedicine, may offer an attractive and viable solution for managing obesity. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the need for a safer alternative to in-person visits led to the increased popularity of telemedicine. Multiple studies have tested the efficacy of telemedicine modalities, including digital coaching via videoconferencing sessions, e-health monitoring using wearable devices, and asynchronous forms of communication such as online chatrooms with counselors. In this review, we discuss the available evidence for telemedicine interventions in managing obesity, review current challenges and barriers to using telemedicine, and outline future directions to optimize the management of patients with obesity using telemedicine.

Advanced Glycation Endproducts: A Marker of Long-term Exposure to Glycemia.

This article examines the importance of advanced glycation endproducts (AGEs) and summarizes the structure of AGEs, pathological changes associated with AGEs, the contribution of AGEs to metabolic memory, and the value of AGEs as a predictor of diabetic complications and cardiovascular disease in people with and without diabetes. As a practical focus, skin autofluorescence (SAF) is examined as an attractive approach for estimating AGE burden. The measurement of AGEs may be of significant value to specific individuals and groups, including Black and Hispanic/Latino Americans, as they appear to have higher concentrations of hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) than would be predicted by other metrics of mean glycemia. We hypothesize that if the amount of glycation of HbA1c is greater than expected from measured glucose levels, and if AGEs are accumulating, then this accumulation of AGEs might account for the increased rate of complications of diabetes in populations with high rates of vascular disease and other complications. Thus, identifying and modifying the burden of AGEs based on measurement of AGEs by SAF may turn out to be a worthwhile metric to determine individuals who are at high risk for the complications of diabetes as well as others without diabetes at risk of vascular disease. We conclude that available evidence supports SAF as both a clinical measurement and as a means of evaluating interventions aimed at reducing the risks of vascular disease and diabetic complications.

Association between dietary phosphate intake and skeletal muscle energetics in adults without cardiovascular disease.

Highly bioavailable inorganic phosphate (Pi) is present in large quantities in the typical Western diet and represents a large fraction of total phosphate intake. Dietary Pi excess induces exercise intolerance and skeletal muscle mitochondrial dysfunction in normal mice. However, the relevance of this to humans remains unknown. The study was conducted on 13 individuals without a history of cardiopulmonary disease (46% female, 15% Black participants) enrolled in the pilot-phase of the Dallas Heart and Mind Study. Total dietary phosphate was estimated from 24-h dietary recall (ASA24). Muscle ATP synthesis was measured at rest, and phosphocreatinine (PCr) dynamics was measured during plantar flexion exercise using 7-T 31P magnetic resonance (MR) spectroscopy in the calf muscle. Correlation was assessed between dietary phosphate intake normalized to total caloric intake, resting ATP synthesis, and PCr depletion during exercise. Higher dietary phosphate intake was associated with lower resting ATP synthesis (r = -0.62, P = 0.03), and with higher levels of PCr depletion during plantar flexion exercise relative to the resting period (r = -0.72; P = 0.004). These associations remain significant after adjustment for age and estimated glomerular filtration rate (both P < 0.05). High dietary phosphate intake was also associated with lower serum Klotho levels, and Klotho levels are in turn associated with PCr depletion and higher ADP accumulation post exercise. Our study suggests that higher dietary phosphate is associated with reduced skeletal muscle mitochondrial function at rest and exercise in humans providing new insight into potential mechanisms linking the Western diet to impaired energy metabolism.NEW & NOTEWORTHY This is the first translational research study directly demonstrating the adverse effects of dietary phosphate on muscle energy metabolism in humans. Importantly, our data show that dietary phosphate is associated with impaired muscle ATP synthesis at rest and during exercise, independent of age and renal function. This is a new biologic paradigm with significant clinical dietary implications.

Association of global longitudinal strain by feature tracking cardiac magnetic resonance imaging with adverse outcomes among community-dwelling adults without cardiovascular disease: The Dallas Heart Study.

AIM: Left ventricular (LV) global longitudinal strain (GLS) may detect subtle abnormalities in myocardial contractility among individuals with normal LV ejection fraction (LVEF). However, the prognostic implications of GLS among healthy, community-dwelling adults is not well-established. METHODS AND RESULTS: Overall, 2234 community-dwelling adults (56% women, 47% Black) with LVEF ≥50% without a history of cardiovascular disease (CVD) from the Dallas Heart Study who underwent cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) with GLS assessed by feature tracking CMR (FT-CMR) were included. The association of GLS with the risk of incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; composite of incident myocardial infarction, incident heart failure [HF], hospitalization for atrial fibrillation, coronary revascularization, and all-cause death), and incident HF or death were assessed with adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. A total of 309 participants (13.8%) had MACE during a median follow-up duration of 17 years. Participants with the worst GLS (Q4) were more likely male and of the Black race with a history of tobacco use and diabetes with lower LVEF, higher LV end-diastolic volume, and higher LV mass index. Cumulative incidence of MACE was higher among participants with worse (Q4 vs. Q1) GLS (20.4% vs. 9.0%). In multivariable-adjusted Cox models that included clinical characteristics, cardiac biomarkers and baseline LVEF, worse GLS (Q4 vs. Q1) was associated with a significantly higher risk of MACE (hazard ratio [HR] 1.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07-2.24, p = 0.02) and incident HF or death (HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.03-2.38, p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Impaired LV GLS assessed by FT-CMR among adults free of cardiovascular disease is associated with a higher risk of incident MACE and incident HF or death independent of cardiovascular risk factors, cardiac biomarkers and LVEF.

Association of Beta-Blocker Use With Exercise Capacity in Participants With Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction: A Post Hoc Analysis of the RELAX Trial.

Patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) often receive ß-blocker (BB) therapy for management of co-morbidities. However, the association of BB therapy with exercise capacity and health-related quality of life (HRQL) in HFpEF is not well-studied. In this post hoc analysis of the Phosphodiesterase-5 Inhibition to Improve Clinical Status and Exercise Capacity in HFpEF (RELAX) trial, which included patients with chronic stable HFpEF with peak exercise capacity assessment at baseline and at 12 and 24 weeks of follow-up, we evaluated the association of BB use with the measures of exercise capacity (peak exercise oxygen uptake), anaerobic threshold, and HRQL (Minnesota living with heart failure questionnaire). Separate linear mixed-effect models were constructed for each outcome with adjustment for treatment arm, demographics, medical history, left ventricular ejection fraction, and duration of heart failure. Of the 216 study participants (median age 69 years, 48.2% women), 76% reported BB use at baseline. Participants with (vs without) BB therapy were older (70 vs 63.5 years, p = 0.001) and had a higher prevalence of ischemic heart disease (44% vs 23%, p = 0.01). In the adjusted linear mixed model, BB use over time was not associated with peak exercise oxygen uptake (ß 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.2 (-0.31 to 0.7), p = 0.5) and 6-minute walk distance (ß 95% CI 14.69 [-14.25 to 43.63], p = 0.3). However, BB use was associated with a higher anaerobic threshold (ß 95% CI 0.32 (0.02 to 0.62), p = 0.036) and better HRQL (lower quality of life as assessed by Minnesota living with heart failure questionnaire score) (ß 95% CI -6.68 [-10.96 to -2.4], p = 0.002). Future trials are needed to better evaluate the effects of BB on exercise capacity in patients with chronic stable HFpEF.

National Variation in Hospital MTEER Outcomes and Correlation With TAVR Outcomes: STS/ACC TVT Registry Analysis.

BACKGROUND: A single, multitiered valve center designation has been proposed to publicly identify centers with expertise for all valve therapies. The correlation between transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) and mitral transcatheter edge-to-edge repair (MTEER) procedures is unknown. OBJECTIVES: The authors sought to examine the relationship between site-level volumes and outcomes for TAVR and MTEER. We further explored variability between sites for MTEER outcomes. METHODS: Using the STS/ACC TVT (Society of Thoracic Surgeons/American College of Cardiology Transcatheter Valve Therapy) national registry, TAVR and MTEER procedures at sites offering both therapies from 2013 to 2022 were examined. Sites were ranked into deciles of adjusted in-hospital and 30-day outcomes separately for TAVR and MTEER and compared. Stepwise, hierarchical multivariable models were constructed for MTEER outcomes, and the median OR was calculated. RESULTS: Between 2013 and 2022, 384,394 TAVRs and 53,274 MTEERs (median annualized volumes: 93.6 and 18.8, respectively) were performed across 453 U.S. sites. Annualized TAVR and MTEER volumes were moderately correlated (r = 0.48; P < 0.001). After adjustment, 14.3% of sites had the same decile rank for TAVR and MTEER 30-day composite outcome, 50.6% were within 2 decile ranks; 35% had more discordant outcomes for the 2 procedures (P = 0.0005). For MTEER procedures, the median OR for the 30-day composite outcome was 1.57 (95% CI: 1.51-1.64), indicating a 57% variability in outcome by site. CONCLUSIONS: There is modest correlation between hospital-level volumes for TAVR and MTEER but low interprocedural correlation of outcomes. For similar patients, site-level variability for mortality/morbidity following MTEER was high. Factors influencing outcomes and "centers of excellence" as a whole may differ for TAVR and MTEER.

Sex Disparities in Longitudinal Use and Intensification of Guideline-Directed Medical Therapy Among Patients With Newly Diagnosed Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: Guideline-directed medical therapies (GDMTs) are the mainstay of treatment for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), but they are underused. Whether sex differences exist in the initiation and intensification of GDMT for newly diagnosed HFrEF is not well established. METHODS: Patients with incident HFrEF were identified from the 2016 to 2020 Optum deidentified Clinformatics Data Mart Database, which is derived from a database of administrative health claims for members of large commercial and Medicare Advantage health plans. The primary outcome was the use of optimal GDMT within 12 months of HFrEF diagnosis. Consistent with the guideline recommendations during the time period of the study, optimal GDMT was defined as ≥50% of the target dose of evidence-based beta-blocker plus ≥50% of the target dose of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blocker, or any dose of angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitor plus any dose of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist. The probability of achieving optimal GDMT on follow-up and predictors of optimal GDMT were evaluated with time-to-event analysis with adjusted Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: The study cohort included 63 759 patients (mean age, 71.3 years; 15.2% non-Hispanic Black race; 56.6% male). Optimal GDMT use was achieved by 6.2% of patients at 12 months after diagnosis. Female (compared with male) patients with HFrEF had lower use across every GDMT class and lower use of optimal GDMT at each time point at follow-up. In an adjusted Cox model, female sex was associated with a 23% lower probability of achieving optimal GDMT after diagnosis (hazard ratio [HR], 0.77 [95% CI, 0.71-0.83]; P<0.001). The sex disparities in GDMT use after HFrEF diagnosis were most pronounced among patients with commercial insurance (females compared with males; HR, 0.66 [95% CI, 0.58-0.76]) compared with Medicare (HR, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.77-0.92]); Pinteraction sex×insurance status=0.005) and for younger patients (age <65 years: HR, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.58-0.74]) compared with older patients (age ≥65 years: HR, 87 [95% CI, 80-96]) Pinteraction sex×age=0.009). CONCLUSIONS: Overall use of optimal GDMT after HFrEF diagnosis was low, with significantly lower use among female (compared with male) patients. These findings highlight the need for implementation efforts directed at improving GDMT initiation and titration.

Trends and Outcomes Associated With Bariatric Surgery and Pharmacotherapies With Weight Loss Effects Among Patients With Heart Failure and Obesity.

BACKGROUND: Utilization patterns of bariatric surgery among older patients with heart failure (HF), and the associations with cardiovascular outcomes, are not well known. METHODS: Medicare beneficiaries with HF and at least class II obesity from 2013 to 2020 were identified with Medicare Provider Analysis and Review 100% inpatient files and Medicare 5% outpatient files. Patients who underwent bariatric surgery were matched to controls in a 1:2 ratio (matched on exact age, sex, race, body mass index, HF encounter year, and HF hospitalization rate pre-surgery/matched period). In an exploratory analysis, patients prescribed pharmacotherapies with weight loss effects (semaglutide, liraglutide, naltrexone-bupropion, or orlistat) were identified and matched to controls with a similar strategy in addition to HF medical therapy data. Cox models evaluated associations between weight loss therapies (as a time-varying covariate) and mortality risk and HF hospitalization rate (calculated as the rate of HF hospitalizations following index HF encounter per 100 person-months) during follow-up. RESULTS: Of 298 101 patients with HF and body mass index ≥35 kg/m2, 2594 (0.9%) underwent bariatric surgery (45% men; mean age, 56.2 years; mean body mass index, 51.5 kg/m2). In propensity-matched analyses over a median follow-up of 4.7 years, bariatric surgery was associated with lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 0.55 [95% CI, 0.49-0.63]; P<0.001), greater reduction in HF hospitalization rate (rate ratio, 0.72 [95% CI, 0.67-0.77]; P<0.001), and lower atrial fibrillation risk (HR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.65-0.93]; P=0.006). Use of pharmacotherapies with weight loss effects was low (4.8%), with 96.3% prescribed GLP-1 (glucagon-like peptide-1) agonists (semaglutide, 23.6%; liraglutide, 72.7%). In propensity-matched analysis over a median follow-up of 2.8 years, patients receiving pharmacotherapies with weight loss effects (versus matched controls) had a lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 0.82 [95% CI, 0.71-0.95]; P=0.007) and HF hospitalization rate (rate ratio, 0.87 [95% CI, 0.77-0.99]; P=0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Bariatric surgery and pharmacotherapies with weight loss effects are associated with a lower risk of adverse outcomes among older patients with HF and obesity; however, overall utilization remains low.

Role of exercise therapy and cardiac rehabilitation in heart failure.

Heart failure (HF) is a common cause of hospitalization and death, and the hallmark symptoms of HF, including dyspnea, fatigue, and exercise intolerance, contribute to poor patient quality of life (QoL). Cardiac rehabilitation (CR) is a comprehensive disease management program incorporating exercise training, cardiovascular risk factor management, and psychosocial support. CR has been demonstrated to effectively improve patient functional status and QoL among patients with HF. However, CR participation among patients with HF is poor. This review details the mechanisms of dyspnea and exercise intolerance among patients with HF, the physiologic and clinical improvements observed with CR, and the key components of a CR program for patients with HF. Furthermore, unmet needs and future strategies to improve patient participation and engagement in CR for HF are reviewed.

Emerging Biomarkers in the Laboratory and in Practice: A Novel Approach to Diagnosing Heart Failure in Diabetes.

The Biomarkers for the Diagnosis of Heart Failure in Diabetes webinar was hosted by Diabetes Technology Society on September 20, 2023, with the objective to review current evidence and management practices of biomarker screening for heart failure in people with diabetes. The webinar discussed (1) the four stages of heart failure, (2) diabetes and heart failure, (3) natriuretic peptide and troponin for diagnosing heart failure in diabetes, (4) emerging composite and investigational biomarkers for diagnosing heart failure, and (5) prevention of heart failure progression. Experts in heart failure from the fields of clinical chemistry, cardiology, and diabetology presented data about the importance of screening for heart failure as an often-unnoticed complication of people with type 1 and type 2 diabetes.

Managing Obesity in Heart Failure: A Chance to Tip the Scales?

Obesity is associated with incident heart failure (HF), independent of other cardiovascular risk factors. Despite rising rates of both obesity and incident HF, the associations remain poorly understood between: 1) obesity and HF outcomes; and 2) weight loss and HF outcomes. Evidence shows that patients with HF and obesity have high symptom burdens, lower exercise capacity, and higher rates of hospitalization for HF when compared with patients with HF without obesity. However, the impact of weight loss on these outcomes for patients with HF and obesity remains unclear. Recent advances in medical therapies for weight loss have offered a new opportunity for significant and sustained weight loss. Ongoing and recently concluded cardiovascular outcomes trials will offer new insights into the role of weight loss through these therapies in preventing HF and mitigating HF outcomes and symptom burdens among patients with established HF, particularly HF with preserved ejection fraction.

Optimal Screening for Predicting and Preventing the Risk of Heart Failure Among Adults With Diabetes Without Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease: A Pooled Cohort Analysis.

BACKGROUND: The optimal approach to identify individuals with diabetes who are at a high risk for developing heart failure (HF) to inform implementation of preventive therapies is unknown, especially in those without atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). METHODS: Adults with diabetes and no HF at baseline from 7 community-based cohorts were included. Participants without ASCVD who were at high risk for developing HF were identified using 1-step screening strategies: risk score (WATCH-DM [Weight, Age, Hypertension, Creatinine, HDL-C, Diabetes Control, QRS Duration, MI, and CABG] ≥12), NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide ≥125 pg/mL), hs-cTn (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T ≥14 ng/L; hs-cTnI ≥31 ng/L), and echocardiography-based diabetic cardiomyopathy (echo-DbCM; left atrial enlargement, left ventricular hypertrophy, or diastolic dysfunction). High-risk participants were also identified using 2-step screening strategies with a second test to identify residual risk among those deemed low risk by the first test: WATCH-DM/NT-proBNP, NT-proBNP/hs-cTn, NT-proBNP/echo-DbCM. Across screening strategies, the proportion of HF events identified, 5-year number needed to treat and number needed to screen to prevent 1 HF event with an SGLT2i (sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor) among high-risk participants, and cost of screening were estimated. RESULTS: The initial study cohort included 6293 participants (48.2% women), of whom 77.7% without prevalent ASCVD were evaluated with different HF screening strategies. At 5-year follow-up, 6.2% of participants without ASCVD developed incident HF. The 5-year number needed to treat to prevent 1 HF event with an SGLT2i among participants without ASCVD was 43 (95% CI, 29-72). In the cohort without ASCVD, high-risk participants identified using 1-step screening strategies had a low 5-year number needed to treat (22 for NT-proBNP to 37 for echo-DbCM). However, a substantial proportion of HF events occurred among participants identified as low risk using 1-step screening approaches (29% for echo-DbCM to 47% for hs-cTn). Two-step screening strategies captured most HF events (75-89%) in the high-risk subgroup with a comparable 5-year number needed to treat as the 1-step screening approaches (30-32). The 5-year number needed to screen to prevent 1 HF event was similar across 2-step screening strategies (45-61). However, the number of tests and associated costs were lowest for WATCH-DM/NT-proBNP ($1061) compared with other 2-step screening strategies (NT-proBNP/hs-cTn: $2894; NT-proBNP/echo-DbCM: $16 358). CONCLUSIONS: Selective NT-proBNP testing based on the WATCH-DM score efficiently identified a high-risk primary prevention population with diabetes expected to derive marked absolute benefits from SGLT2i to prevent HF.

Incident Heart Failure Risk Reclassification With Race-Independent Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate: A National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Pooled Cohorts Analysis.

BACKGROUND: This study compared the predictive value of the race-independent creatinine- and cystatin C-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcr-cys) and the race-dependent creatinine-based eGFR (eGFRcr) for incident heart failure (HF). METHODS: This study combined the participant-level data from ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) (visit 4) and MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) (visit 1) to calculate eGFRcr-cys and eGFRcr. The primary outcome of the study was adjudicated incident HF over a follow-up period of 10 years. Multivariable Cox models were used to assess the risk of incident HF with the quartiles of eGFRcr-cys and eGFRcr. RESULTS: Among 15,615 individuals (median age: 62 [57-68] years; 55.0% females; 23.9% Black), the median eGFRcr-cys and eGFRcr were 91.4 (79.4, 102.0) mL/min/1.73m2 and 84.7 (72.0, 94.7) mL/min/1.73m2, respectively. Compared with the fourth quartile of eGFRcr-cys, the hazard ratio for incident HF was 1.02 (95% CI:0.80-1.30) in the third quartile, 1.02 (95% CI:0.80-1.30) in the second quartile, and 1.47 (95% CI:1.16-1.86) in the first quartile. Compared with the 4th quartile of the eGFRcr, the risk of incident HF was similar in the 3rd (HRadj:0.90 [95% CI:0.73-1.12]), 2nd (HRadj: 0.96 [95% CI:0.77-1.20]), and 1st (HRadj:1.15 [95% CI:0.93-1.44]) quartiles. C-statistics were similar for the multivariable-adjusted Cox models for incident HF using eGFRcr (0.80 [0.79-0.81]) and eGFRcr-cys (0.80 [0.79-0.82]). CONCLUSION: The eGFRcr and eGFRcr-cys had comparable predictive values for incident HF.